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[A Critic’s Guide to the 98th Academy Awards: Performances and Pictures That Matter]-[Oscars 2026: Who Will Win, and Who Should Win?]

The Daily · B2 · 2026-03-08

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📋 Summary

The State of American Cinema: A Resilient Renaissance

As the 98th Annual Academy Awards approach, chief film critic Manohla Dargis offers a surprisingly optimistic outlook on the state of Hollywood. Despite persistent industry anxieties, Dargis likens American cinema to the iconic hand popping out of the grave in Carrie—it is undeniably "back." This year’s nominees are characterized by their quality and their ability to bridge the gap between critical acclaim and audience engagement, proving that high-stakes, ambitious storytelling still resonates with the public.

Leading Performances: The Emotional Spectrum

Best Actress: The Heavyweight vs. The Subtle Force

The frontrunner for Best Actress is widely considered to be Jessie Buckley for her role in Hamnet. Dargis highlights Buckley’s performance as a "classic role" that captures the full emotional register—from "mother love" to harrowing grief. The Academy’s penchant for "big performances" and visible, visceral emotion—what Dargis jokingly calls the "snot running down your face" factor—positions Buckley as the one to beat.

In contrast, Dargis advocates for Renate Reinsve’s turn in Sentimental Value. Described as a "tour de force performance" that operates like a "gentle mist" rather than a "thundering storm," Reinsve’s work relies on "emotional transparency." In a pivotal scene where she listens to a co-star, Dargis notes how the filmmaker captures her face "rippling with emotions," allowing the audience to arrive at their own conclusions without being told how to feel.

Best Actor: A Slate of Abrasive Heroes

The Best Actor category is exceptionally competitive, featuring Timothée Chalamet (Marty Supreme), Michael B. Jordan (Sinners), and Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon).

  • Timothée Chalamet: His portrayal of a ruthless table tennis hustler is described as an "exuberant, out there performance." Dargis acknowledges that modern audiences often struggle with "spiky and barbed" characters, yet insists Chalamet injects enough charm to make the character compelling.
  • Michael B. Jordan: Jordan’s dual role as twins in Sinners is praised for its seamlessness and the distinct personalities he brings to each character. The film’s "profound amorous encounter" and deep exploration of cultural history mark it as a standout achievement.
  • Ethan Hawke: In Blue Moon, Hawke delivers a "profoundly sad" performance. Dargis lauds his "lack of vanity," noting how the actor allows his physical aging to inform the character of Lorenz Hart. It is a performance defined by a "warring" internal state—the pride of a creator clashing with the desperation of a man who knows he has been bested.

Best Picture: Urgent Stories and Cinematic Genius

Two films dominate the Best Picture conversation: One Battle After Another and Sinners. Both are praised for their "urgency" and their willingness to engage with the American experience. One Battle After Another is described as a "shocking" yet "gloriously funny" film that captures the confusion and idealism of revolutionaries, while Sinners is hailed as a masterpiece of "cinematic genius." Dargis highlights a specific scene in Sinners where the camera weaves through time and space, linking the blues to modern culture, effectively collapsing history into a singular, moving moment.

Beyond these hits, Dargis urges viewers to watch the Brazilian film The Secret Agent. It serves as a reminder of the power of unpredictable, boundary-pushing cinema that shifts between "outrageous violence" and "burlesque comedy" while maintaining a poignant focus on surviving political oppression.

Conclusion: A Call for Alignment

Ultimately, Dargis hopes that studio executives will take note of this year's successes. The audience's receptivity to these films suggests a clear desire for movies that are "very well made" and grounded in reality, rather than blockbusters "completely divorced" from the world we live in. As the Oscars arrive, Dargis remains hopeful that the industry might finally be aligning its output with the sophisticated tastes of its audience.

🎯Key Sentences

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I have a love-hate relationship with the Oscars.
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What took us so long?
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That's the exercise here.
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Who do you think is likely to win there?
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Part of the richness of the character is the character goes through all the feelings.
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📝Key Phrases

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love-hate relationship
2
industry insiders
3
forces arrayed against
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unmissable performances
5
mental notes
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📖 Transcript

I've always wanted to ask you this question.
Do film critics like yourself actually get excited about the Oscars?
I have a love-hate relationship with the Oscars.
I mean, I've watched, I think, probably almost every single Oscar since I was a child.
I often spend the entire time cursing at the screen and speed dialing friends and then cheering wildly when one of my favorite movies wins something you know.
So the Oscars are terrible unless they're right, which means unless they pick my movies, you know.

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