AMD has just made a deal to supply six gigawatts of compute to OpenAI.
Now, this is a chip deal worth billions of dollars, but I think it's fascinating for a lot of reasons because basically, I think the strategy that OpenAI and AMD have employed here to make this deal is going to be the strategy OpenAI uses to fund their insane amount of Basically, this insane amount of money that they're going to need to build the compute necessary for the next generation of open AI, what they're planning on doing with robotics, what they're planning on doing with scaling up AI to do.
There's just insane projects that need so much money and most people are questioning where does all this money come from?
This is going to be the strategy that we cover in the show today.
Uh, that they're doing with amd to roll this out, and this is different.
This deal right now, this amd deal, is different than what they've done with nvidia um, so this is quite, quite fascinating.
We're gonna get into all of it.
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All right, let's talk about AMD.
So this is a multi-year chip supply deal that's going to be happening.
It could generate tens of billions of dollars in revenue for AMD.
And before we get into even what happened here, I just want to tell you what happened to the AMD stock after this announcement.
Today, the AMD stock is up 29.9%, basically 30% today, which is, or 26%, 25% today, I guess.
It's 20...
30% in the last day.
It's moving around as we're talking.
It looks like it's slowly slipping.
But basically, you get the idea.
25% in one day is insane for this company.
And it feels like it is officially... Oh, and by the way, at the same time, NVIDIA is down 1%.
So it feels like AMD is about to see a big rise because they're going to be making this partnership.
So here's what's going on.
AMD is going to supply 6 gigawatts of compute to OpenAI.
That's enough to power 4.5 million homes.
They're doing this across a bunch of different generations of their Instinct GPUs.
So they're starting with their MI450 GPU.
And OpenAI is going to get their first gigawatt of capacity in the second half of next year, 2026.
So that's when the new chip is scheduled for deployment.
So it appears AMD has seen what NVIDIA is doing.
Doesn't want to miss out on the gravy train.
Has been working hard to compete here.
And AMD claims that this new chip is going to outperform NVIDIA's comparable offering.
So NVIDIA has the NVIDIA Rubin CPX chip.
And they claim that it is going to basically outperform them.
And they're doing this through hardware and software improvements.
Many of those are going to be made with OpenAI's input.
So this is kind of starting to remind me of the deal that OpenAI made with Microsoft when OpenAI first came with ChatGPT and Microsoft Azure.
And Microsoft put in 10 billion, and OpenAI worked very closely with Azure to help, you know, explain the exact needs of the chips in order to, and the GPUs in order to make something that could train AI models really well.
It seems like AMD is almost getting like.
This is a big benefit to AMD because if they work with OpenAI to create the exact GPUs OpenAI needs, every other AI company is gonna use that, is gonna need that.
And, you know, I mean, they're helping their supplier buy more from them.
So it makes a lot of sense.
This is, I think interesting, because part of this agreement is that OpenAI is going to get the option to buy 160 million shares of AMD stock, which is about 10 of the company.
This is, you know, a publicly traded company.
OpenAI is getting the option to buy 10% of this company.
And the first tranche of that is gonna invest after the first gigawatt.
So it's gonna be six gigawatt total, but the first gigawatt is deployed, then they're gonna get the first tranche of that and then they'll have a bunch of additional tranches that are gonna invest as OpenAI buys up the total six gigawatts from them.
Now, OpenAI's stake is going to be directly tied to AMD's stock price.
So let's just stop for a second and talk about what's going on here.
And they have these stock price milestones.
They have the final tranche of vesting is when the stock price reaches $600 per share.
And context is that on Friday, AMD shares... closed at $164.
Now they're like, I think, over 200 or at the beginning of you know, this week they were at 220, which is was up 35 following the news of the deal.
They slipped a little bit down.
So then it was down to like 25%.
That's what you heard me quote at the beginning of the podcast.
But basically, This announcement boosted the stock 25 today.
It's 25%, but it boosted initially 35%.
Huge spike in the stock.
And to the point where OpenAI is like yeah, I mean, when your stock gets to 600, we get 10 of your company.
We're going to do these tranches.
And OpenAI is like getting equity in this company, because they're buying from the company and they know that announcing this deal this is exactly like what happened with Nvidia, where they made these big like partnership announcements and Nvidia stock exploded.
Now we have AMD stock exploding because they made this partnership.
And what's interesting is then, OpenAI is going straight back and getting equity in the company.
So it's like they make a partnership that boosts it and they get equity and they get compensated for the boost, which gives them more money to spend on more projects.
It's like these infinite money loops that OpenAI.
It feels like they're playing the stock market game better than anyone else.
They're literally like.
They're like we will buy from you and we want 10 of your company is upside when your stock price grows because we announced we're buying from you.
In the future, before anything's even delivered, the stock price goes up.
So This is what AMD said about this.
CEO AMD, Dr Lisa Su, said Sam Altman said that it was quote a major step in building the compute capacity to realize AI's full potential.
I feel like he doesn't really say AGI anymore.
He's shied away from that term.
He's just like the full potential of AI.
Whatever that potential is, this is what we need to get there.
Last month alone, NVIDIA agreed to invest up to 100 billion into OpenAI and they were going to supply them with 10 gigawatts.
OpenAI and Briar.com also signed a deal for $10 billion to develop and manufacture custom AI chips.
And OpenAI said that its Stargate initiative with Oracle and SoftBank are going to be expanding.
That's according to a quote from TechCrunch.
So I think this is interesting.
There's a lot of deals going down, including one with OpenAI and Samsung and SK Hynix, to get some DRAM memory chips for the Stargate project and build that out in South Korea.
So there is a lot going on here.
But I think my big takeaway from this is basically that OpenAI needs more money.
They've run out of a lot of the traditional ways like VC funding and then even investments from NVIDIA.
Okay, sure, they just got $100 billion from NVIDIA.
But it's like, hey, what now?
And so it seems like the next strategy is they go make partnerships with chip companies and are like hey, before we announce the partnership, give us a certain amount of equity in your company.
When your stock price goes up, we'll announce that your stock price will go up.
We'll get a lot of equity.
We could sell that equity for more money and then we could buy more chips with it.
So it's like they're making money from all sides of the deal. absolutely fascinating i think we're going to see a lot more of this in the future and i'm i'm not like mad i mean i don't think this is necessarily a bad thing but it's it's i mean fascinating and it's very obvious what what's happening and how they're funding this basically um to boost boost these companies which is it's just crazy so you could see that opening i will inevitably get an absolutely absurd amount of money deploying this strategy without a doubt Anyways, thank you so much for tuning into the podcast today.
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Catch you guys in the next episode.