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This seems like a pretty nice neighborhood.
Yeah.
Every house here, the lights are all out, so people are asleep.
And we're sneaking up quietly on the car.
Larry Baker is a repo man.
We're crammed in a surprisingly small tow truck, creeping through the suburbs in Ohio.
Tonight, Larry's job is to find and repossess a black Chevy Cruze.
The person who bought that car is about six payments behind and the finance company wants its car back.
It's right there.
What's that?
It's right there.
OK.
Let me see.
I thought I seen lights on here.
We pull up to a charming little house.
There's a little garden.
There's a couple of bird feeders in the yard.
The Chevy is sitting right in the driveway.
The house is totally dark.
What time is it?
It's about 1 in the morning.
Yeah, I'm not going to knock on the door.
OK.
Yeah, I'm just going to grab it and I'm going to drag it out.
OK.
My heart is genuinely pounding pretty hard.
Like, there's a chance somebody is going to wake up and come out here.
And if they do, then we deal with it.
We were out with Larry that night because we wanted to see on the ground what it looks like when a car gets repossessed, when somebody stops making their car payments.
And in this case, it's that black Chevy Cruze.
Larry hooks it up to the back of his tow truck.
So you're 100% sure this is the right car?
Huh?
Yeah.
Usually, Larry and his wife Maggie do these repossessions together as a team.
She's out sick tonight, and it's left Larry a little exposed.
He looks at the Chevy Cruze, then at the house.
Still no sign the guy who bought this car is awake.
See, usually my wife stands by the door of the car in case he runs out, and that way she can stop him from jumping in the car.
That certainly would be some exciting radio.
We went on this ride along with Larry a few years ago, in 2019, because at that time there was this really alarming trend in the United States.
About 7 million Americans were at least three months behind on their car payments.
That's about the time that your lender starts thinking about repossessing your car.
And today we're revisiting all of this because in 2026, even more people are behind on their car payments.
Even more cars are getting repossessed.
Hello and welcome to Planet Money.
If used car salesman is the worst person in the world.
I am the king of the worst people in the world.
The driver.
I had the money.
I had the means.
I was like, I'm getting a car today.
And of course, the repo man.
Four years of college and I chose to do this.
What'd you study?
Economics.
And today, we're going to have an update from 2026.
How dire the car loan market has become.
Why more repossessions are happening.
And is this a big warning sign for the economy?
Heads up, you're going to hear a lot of numbers in this upcoming section of the podcast.
They're all accurate as of 2019, but we're going to update those at the end.
So don't worry about that.
Okay.
So today we are following the life cycle of a delinquent car loan.
We have three characters with three stories and they're not directly related in real life, but they are all part of this same basic story that is happening over and over when a car is repossessed.
So just know Not related stories, but we will be cutting in and out of them over the course of the next three chapters.
Chapter one, the salesman.
In our industry, PhD stands for Papa Has a Dealership.
Uh-huh.
Well, isn't that true for you?
I technically do have a PhD there.
Okay, I see.
I got it.
Rick Reichert, like his father before him and his father before him, runs Reichert Automotive, founded in the 1950s near Columbus Ohio.
And as a third-generation car salesman, Rick talks in this great old-timey car lot jargon.
PhD, for example, but also towers?
That's where the sales directors sit, thinking about credit scores and loan approvals.
What kind of car a customer will actually be able to buy?
And while the salesmen are on the lot with customers, sales directors are running numbers up in their ivory towers.
They don't sit above everyone else anymore and look down.
They did when I started.
They looked down on the salespeople.
They looked down on the customers.
Now we have everyone eye to eye.
Their primary job is to know how to put that puzzle together.
To some degree, our auto loan story starts here with the towers.
Because when you walk into a car dealership, there's a fundamental question the salesman needs to know.
Do you have good credit or do you have bad credit?
And you never want to, as a salesperson, look at a guest and say, hey, how's your credit?
Do you think it's good or bad?
Because if that person has good credit, they're offended.
Yes.
And they're saying, oh, wait a minute.
Are you implying that I might not have perfect credit?
That's how good credit people talk, yes.
Yes, that's how they talk.
Actually, it's funny.
I lifted my chin up and I kind of tightened my vest up.
If you have good credit, odds are you won't have trouble getting a loan with a low interest rate.
You're in good shape.
You can drive off with a great car.
If you have bad credit, you're a riskier bet to lenders.
You're going to have to pay a higher interest rate for a loan, assuming someone is going to give you a loan.
And Rick says there's this special move.
His salesman used just to float the idea that all people and all credit ratings are welcome at his dealership.
We do what's called the Columbo, whereas you're walking on the lot to look at cars.
You turn back over your shoulder and you say and, by the way, we have guaranteed credit approval if that's something you think you may need.
Why is that the Columbo?
From the old TV show Columbo.
That's what the sales trainers have called it for years.
It's that kind of like look over the shoulder and give that squinty eye.
By the way, I noticed this.
It's kind of a smooth way.
They just call it the Columbo.
The Colombo is a subtle way to let customers with bad credit know that Reichert can still sell them a car and a car loan.
Reichert also has a subprime financing company.
And let's just talk about the term subprime loan for a second, because subprime does not mean bad loan.
It just means loan to somebody who has bad credit.
It is a riskier loan and the interest rate will be higher.
And some people think that this practice on its face is predatory, that lenders can push people into cars they can't afford with incredibly bad loan terms.
And Rick says part of the reason we are seeing more and more people fall behind on their car payments is that there are more and more questionable subprime auto loans.
A lot of lenders have gotten very loose.
They have been extending credit and extending terms and extending money to individuals that probably shouldn't have had those terms of those loans and been able to buy those vehicles.
That, Rick says, is the irresponsible way to be a subprime lender.
And you'll hear stories about this.
Companies stuffing people into expensive crappy, used cars, wringing out as much money as they can, repossessing the car, even garnishing wages.
Rick says there is a responsible way to be a subprime lender, and that is to think about the next car a customer with bad credit is going to buy.
If Rick hands that person a lousy loan for an unaffordable car, he's going to have to repossess that car and wreck that customer's credit, which is bad for future business with that customer.
Oh, my gosh.
Me as a dealer, I want them to make the payment.
I want that car to get them where they need to go.
I want their credit reestablished to where we can get them in a prime loan and really get someone back on their feet.
The subprime auto loan market is a critically important market when it is working well, because people with bad credit and without a lot of money still need a car to live their life, to go to work.
And without subprime, they would not be able to get the money to get that car.
And it's worth underscoring that the vast majority of people in this country with subprime loans are not defaulting on those loans.
At least 92% of people who got subprime auto loans are paying them off on time.
Or at least they're not seriously behind on payments.
We asked Rick how many of the subprime loans his company issues result in repossession.
And compared to other lenders, it is a low number.
I'm going to sound really nerdy because I think it's exactly 6 over the past two years, consistently.
So that is 6% of people given a loan and then a car and then it doesn't work out.
That is very bad for that group of people, like not good for their life.
It's bad for their credit.
Is there a way to avoid that, just get that number down to zero?
Yeah, but one of the ways – so if we did that, that would mean that we're basically declining and just telling people we aren't going to give them a loan.
So as long as we want to play in that field of lending, there's always going to be some form of repossessions.
There's just no way around it.
But also, Rick says, there's no surefire way to predict who is going to default and who isn't.
Credit scores don't tell you if somebody is going to be in the hospital in a year or lose their job.
There's just no perfect way to predict what's going to happen in somebody's life when they walk into a car dealership.
Can I ask a question before you go to the dealership?
Okay.
Chapter two, the driver.
So what car do you have in that moment?
I believe it was a 2007 Ford Explorer.
Okay.
A nice car.
Yeah, and it had almost like 400,000 miles on it.
Yeah.
Driving a Ford Explorer that's shaking a little bit, you tend to want to get something different.
Was it shaking a bit?
Oh, yeah.
If you hit that 70 miles per hour mark on these highways, it gets a little sketchy.
Stephanie Waldrop lives in a small town in Mississippi.
She's 23 now, and a year ago, she was working at a fast food fried chicken restaurant.
She'd been there for a while, started as a cashier, moved up to shift leader, then to manager.
So you got this new job, and I imagine it came with more pay.
Yes, honey, it did.
So you were making pretty good money.
It was great money.
Look, it was money that I didn't understand what to do with.
Stephanie was making four grand a month, and she kind of did understand what to do with it.
Upgrade her crappy Ford Explorer.
Did you have a dream car in mind?
Well, you know, I'm a very, not really simple, I'm complex, but simple at the same time, you know.
I'm very much an SUV person.
Okay.
So I wanted a Ford Flex.
We had to look up the Ford Flex, and it is an unusual looking car to pick as a dream car.
To me, it looks like a hearse, and I think that's kind of cool.
So therefore, I wanted that.
Like, I'm kind of gothic, you know, but I'm actually quite bubbly sometimes, so...
Bubbly gothic is the best way to describe you?
Yeah, yeah, I'm a bubbly goth.
So just before her birthday, Stephanie drives her shaky Explorer to a dealership in Mississippi.
Salesman there says, bad news.
Stephanie, we cannot get you a loan for the Ford Flex because you've got bad credit.
Stephanie can't remember her exact credit score, but she says ballpark was like 600, not great.
But the good news?
This dealer could still get her a subprime loan for a different car, a used Ford Fusion.
You know, it was red.
Like, that's my favorite color.
Being colorblind, that's the one color I could see very well.
So that's why I wanted that red car.
I was like, it is red, so let's go for it.
Now let's just talk about the terms of subprime auto loans for a second, because Stephanie was not going to get a favorable loan, to say the least.
This was about a $12,000 used car.
Her interest rate on the loan was going to be 23%.
So with fees and taxes, her payment was going to be $466 per month for 48 months.
And she was going to end up paying almost double the sticker price of the car.
Some people say this is why subprime is predatory, but others say this is kind of the deal.
This is what it costs to cover a higher risk of default when someone has bad credit.
But these are the kinds of terms on subprime auto loans.
Interest rates in the high teens, low 20s, and sometimes they'll be stretched out for seven or even eight years.
So Stephanie's looking at a car that's not her dream car and thinking it's better than the shaky Ford Explorer.
She's looking at a loan that is definitely not her dream loan and thinking, I mean, I can't afford it.
Four sixty six a month.
I make four grand a month.
OK, let's do this.
And over the next year, she made her payments.
She kept working at that fast food restaurant, making great money.
But she says there were things at that job that just started to take a toll on her.
I am a transgendered woman.
So there's a lot of discrimination that comes along with that.
It just kept happening more and more frequently.
I had a couple workers there that would call me it.
And then the guests, the customers and stuff that would come into the store, it was something else.
I mean, they would sit there and just ask, what are you?
Blantly just asked that.
And so it started weighing on me.
For a while, I was like, I don't really care.
But in the back of my mind, it really weighed on me really hard.
Eventually, she says it was just too much.
She found a new job that was better for her, and she quit the restaurant.
The problem was that this new job, it paid a third of her old salary.
She knew there were going to be huge tradeoffs, including that expensive auto loan.
When it comes to your mental health and something that's material, the mental health outweighs material any day.
So Stephanie missed her first payment, and the finance company starts calling.
They're calling asking what I'm going to pay and they'll just sit there and pressure me and like well, we need you to pay something now.
I'm like, well, when the manna from heaven falls, then I'll pay you.
It's like, it's kind of hard right now.
After three months, Stephanie was about two and a half payments behind.
That is when her lender decided they wanted the car back.
It was the morning, a weekday.
She had the day off from her new job, and she was in her kitchen.
I'm there at the dishwasher, putting dishes in there, cleaning up afterwards.
And our window points straight towards the driveway.
And I see this white tow truck hooked up to my beautiful red car.
Oh, no.
And I'm like, I was telling my boyfriend, I was like, I have a situation.
Like, I was freaking out.
I was like, no, no, no, I'm not that far behind.
Why are you taking my car?
But I mean, it must cross your mind that you're like this is what happened, I guess, when I skipped those payments.
Yes, it's like.
This is what happened when I laid this down in order to pick up another part in my life.
So you're 100% sure this is the right car?
Huh?
Oh, yeah.
Chapter 3, The Repo Man.
When we met Larry Baker, it was about 9.30 at night.
He was waiting for us in his tow truck, which was parked in front of his boat, which is named Final Notice.
And the final notice on the boat means if I come, I'm your final notice.
You ready to load up?
Yeah.
Larry's wearing an Ohio State crew neck sweatshirt.
He's got a small hoop earring.
He smokes Pall Mall cigarettes, but he's trying to quit and At least tonight his radio was tuned to the classic rock station in Columbus.
You like this song?
Yeah.
It's the best.
We rode along with Larry from 9.30 p.m. to around 1.30 in the morning.
This time of night, I always get coffee.
You guys drink coffee or no?
Oh, yeah.
Okay, Speedway coffee is the best.
Wait, really?
Oh, my God, yes.
Speedway Coffee, that is repo lesson number one.
Here is what else you'll learn over the course of four hours with a veteran repo guy.
Lesson two do your repossessions in the middle of the night, because if people are sleeping there will be less conflict.
But that doesn't mean zero conflict.
I didn't bring it tonight.
That's why I carry a .45 automatic.
How many times have you had to pull a gun?
Twice in 15 years.
And you've had a gun pulled on you?
About four times.
Okay.
But lesson number three, most people are good.
And remember, you are meeting them at one of the worst moments in their lives.
You know, when they treat me with respect, you know, I have a heart too.
So there's been times where I've left cars, you know.
Finance company wanted me to get a car and, you know, I looked at the paperwork.
They only owed 300 and some dollars.
And I thought, you know what, this car sucks.
It really is a piece of junk car.
The poor girl's paid for it for, you know, two years.
I just left the car.
I told her to go hide it.
The repossession business has changed dramatically over the course of Larry's career.
He's been doing this for more than a decade.
And here's how he says it worked when he started.
A lending company would get in touch and say, hey, Larry, so and so stopped paying.
We need her car back.
So in those olden days, Larry wouldn't get much more information than that.
A name, an address, a phone number.
But maybe so-and-so moved.
Maybe she isn't picking up her phone.
Now what?
Larry then had to become like a kind of detective.
He would go on the social media of the day MySpace, and he would see if so-and-so was posting pictures of herself.
What's in the background of the picture?
Does Larry recognize it?
Can he drive there?
Maybe the car's there.
He'd also check databases to find other addresses, other phone numbers.
And if that didn't work, he'd try to find so-and-so's family members and just start making phone calls.
You have to do a little trickery.
And I might call a cousin and say, hey, this is John from Rent-A-Center.
Your cousin so-and-so came in to get a widescreen TV.
We want to get it delivered to her, but we need to verify three pieces of information.
So now I got our new address.
Are you allowed to do that?
Yeah.
I'm not going after the person that I'm talking to.
If he wants to volunteer the information, then that's on him.
Okay.
The point here is that those were the old MySpace days when it was a ton of work to track down somebody's car.
And there was a decent chance that Larry would never find so-and-so's car and the lender would just be out of luck.
They'd never get it back.
So you could imagine, lenders were a little more reluctant to give out subprime loans back then.
But things have changed.
It's gotten way easier to get a car back.
All right, so what's next?
Okay, I'll show you.
Larry pulls out this iPad to show us the next car on his repossession list.
It's a black Chevy Cruze.
The car was bought with a subprime loan.
The buyer has stopped paying.
But here is the catch.
Nowadays, Larry says, part of the deal when you buy a car with a subprime loan is that the lender is going to stick a GPS tracking device onto your car.
So now, Larry doesn't need to go on MySpace or fake a phone call.
He just opens up an app on his iPad and punches in this car's GPS number.
GPS, don't lie.
Okay.
Okay.
So we'll ping it.
Oh, we pulled up the live GPS here?
Yep.
Up pops a map that shows a little dot in a pretty nice neighborhood.
This is where the car is.
Yep, that's where it's at.
What if it's in the garage?
It's not.
This thing pings pretty much accurate.
It does seem like your job is much easier now.
Oh, yes.
Larry says finance companies now know that if they issue a risky loan it's going to be much easier to get their car back if someone stops paying.
And that is definitely a part of the reason we are seeing more subprime auto loans.
When you know you can get the car back, it is that much less risky to issue the loan.
And it is amazingly easy to find a car this way.
That's right there.
This is in fact the car we were repossessing at the very beginning of the episode.
Larry is running around the driveway, hooking this Chevy Cruze up to his tow truck.
All right, so it's, like, 1 in the morning.
We're standing in someone's driveway.
As far as we can tell, they're asleep.
This is, like, legitimately... Larry, do you not dread somebody waking up in the middle of this?
It doesn't scare you?
If they do, I just tell them, you know, I explain to them.
I just tell them, you know, sorry, you know.
Larry trails off.
He's focused on his actual job, which is getting into his truck, pressing a button that pulls the Chevy into the tow position.
Nobody wakes up.
Nobody runs into the car.
Larry hits the gas, and he drives away.
Adios.
That's it?
That's it.
Call me tomorrow.
Is this what a normal repo looks like for you, Larry?
Yep.
Five minutes?
Five minutes. it would genuinely be miserable to wake up and not have your car the next morning.
Like, that person might have to go to work, right?
Well, yeah.
I mean, it is.
I mean, I feel for some people.
I really do.
You know taking somebody's property and you know making them, you know, stranded.
You know they could have, you know, a couple kids and you're really going through some hard times.
I mean...
We've even taken a car and gave them money, you know, because they didn't have any money to catch a bus.
They had to go to work or catch an Uber.
You know, we all have to pay our bills.
This is how I pay my bills.
This is how I feed my family.
So it's just a job.
Millions and millions of Americans are on the verge of having their car repossessed.
Some people are calling this a subprime auto crisis.
But look, this is a different kind of crisis than the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007.
There are a lot of reasons why, but probably the simplest is that there is just way less auto debt.
The mortgage market was and still is much, much bigger than the auto loan market.
That said, an auto repossession is clearly a crisis when it is your car being taken.
After the break, what really happens after a repossession?
When the day came for her car to be repossessed.
Stephanie Waldrop says she actually recognized the repo guy.
He used to come into her chicken restaurant when she worked there.
He was a nice guy, she says, even gave her time to clean out her car, grab her beloved umbrella.
It's wonderful.
It's huge.
It's just black.
It's just massive.
It's like a funeral umbrella.
This is your gothic side.
It's like a funeral umbrella, yes.
It's the gothic side coming out.
One of Stephanie's goals with that car was to build her credit back up, but the repo has not been good for her credit score.
It dropped like a bad habit, honey.
How did you feel when you saw your credit score?
I was a little offset, you know, I was put back a little bit, but it's like, I'm going to fix this.
And technically, she still does have time to fix this.
Here's the situation.
Stephanie's car has not yet been auctioned off.
And until that happens, she can get the car back.
She'll need to start making regular payments again, plus a new $700 repossession fee.
So her plan is to find a second job to get the money she'll need to get her car back.
Of course.
All of that will be harder because she doesn't have a car anymore.
How are you getting around now?
Honey, sometimes I don't even know.
Yeah, how are you getting home?
My boyfriend's mom.
She's going to take me to work.
After this, I'm going to work.
Oh, okay.
Well, good luck on the car.
Update us if you get the car back.
Okay.
Okay, so that is where we left things in 2019.
And since then...
There have been a lot of things that are worth updating.
So let's start with just the repo business in general.
It's been very busy.
Now there was a brief lull in collections during the pandemic, but otherwise repossessions have been rising steadily.
And when we went to talk to Larry Baker, the repo man that we followed, he told us that he had started to see people cook up all sorts of new ways to stop him from towing away their cars over the last couple of years.
They knew that they had paid their payments, so they'd block them in.
Put them in the backyard, park them by the front door.
It just started the last two or three years.
I mean, it's just been crazy.
Larry told us that his brother-in-law was shot in the leg trying to repossess a car.
Before, they just didn't care.
Come get it.
I don't care.
Can't pay for it.
Now it's I want to keep it no matter what.
So desperation is the biggest change that Larry says he has seen.
Now there are whole companies that track numbers of repossessions in the economy and they are still working on the final tally for 2025.
But they estimate it will end up as more than 3 million cars repoed last year and that would be more than 2019.
And it would also be on par with how bad it got during the Great Recession.
Now, meanwhile, Larry Baker himself, his biggest update is that he is now out of the repo business.
It was a good run.
We've been doing it since 06.
We made a good lick of money and time to say goodnight.
Larry retired in April.
Now on to an update of the second side of our car loan, the dealer.
Rick Reichert left his business as well.
His old dealership is now in the hands of a different Reichert.
The process hasn't changed.
I think the tools in which we used to get there has changed a little bit.
His cousin Jared told us that the Columbo method of selling a car, that left with cousin Rick.
Yeah, the Colombo method is Rick Reichert.
Rick's a way better salesperson than I am.
Jared told us that repos on his lot are close to double what they were in 2019.
And he says a big reason for that is that cars now are simply more expensive.
Because, you know, in 2019, you could find a $10,000 to $15,000 car for a subprime loan.
Now, I mean, you're looking $20,000, $25,000 vehicle.
So that's why we're reaching the banks saying, hey, can we stretch this loan?
You usually do it 60 months.
Can we do it 84 months?
Now.
The downside to a longer car loan is that the car owners will end up paying more in interest and then overall, which means a higher chance borrowers might not be able to pay for it, which means more risk for everybody.
And remember this whole trend is mostly about subprime borrowers, people with bad or even just okay credit scores.
And last fall, 66 of subprime borrowers had fallen at least two months behind on their auto payments.
That may sound small, but that is the highest it's been since, like even before the financial crisis.
Now, all of this is part of what feels like an affordability crisis for so many Americans, as we've reported on a few times already which, I suppose, brings us to our final update our car buyer, Stephanie Waldrop.
Now, shortly after we aired the original episode, people started reaching out asking how they could help Stephanie.
The donations poured in.
She was able to go back and buy her specific car back.
I drove it all the way back home.
It took about 20 minutes to drive.
Oh, it felt so great.
It felt so great when I got behind the wheel of my car.
We were not able to track Stephanie down again in 2026.
So Stephanie, may you still be driving the car you love, with a check engine light that never comes on and a full tank of gas.
Give us an email if you hear this.
We would love to know.
Thank you so much for having me.
It's a great gift.
This episode was originally produced by Darian Woods and edited by Brian Erstadt.
Our update was reported by Vito Emanuel, produced by Sam Yellow Horse Kessler, engineered by Sina Lofredo, and it was edited by our executive producer, Alex Goldmark.
And you know what?
We may as well give you an update on my co-reporter for this episode, Preeti Varathan.
She now is a big wig making podcasts for ESPNcom at 30 for 30 and was a finalist for a Pulitzer Prize as well.
We are very proud of you, Preeti.
I'm Kenny Malone.
This is NPR.
Thanks for listening.