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[The Bill Simmons Podcast: NFL Week 18 Betting, MVP Debates, and the Top 21 Sports Movies of the 21st Century]-[Maye Vs. Stafford, Week 18 Picks & the 21 Best 21st Century Sports Movies With Peter Schrager, Joe House, and Sean Fennessey]

The Bill Simmons Podcast · B2 · 2026-01-02

Sports
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📋 Summary

Navigating the NFL MVP Race and the 21st Century Sports Movie Canon

In this episode of The Bill Simmons Podcast, Bill Simmons is joined by Joe House and Peter Schrager to dissect the chaotic landscape of the NFL heading into Week 18, while also welcoming Sean Fennessey to curate a definitive list of the best sports films released since 2000.

The NFL MVP Tug-of-War

The conversation begins with a spirited debate regarding the NFL MVP race, which Simmons characterizes as a "narrative-based" award rather than a purely statistical one. The primary conflict lies between Drake Maye and Matthew Stafford. Schrager notes that while betting markets have fluctuated wildly, the "narrative" has shifted against Stafford following a disappointing three-interception performance against the Falcons.

Simmons vehemently defends Maye, citing his superior EPA (Expected Points Added) stats and the fact that he has been "scrambling like on 10% of his plays" behind a subpar offensive line. Conversely, Schrager and House argue that the "strength of schedule" for the Patriots has been historically easy, suggesting that the award may be a "razor thin" decision. They also discuss the potential for Christian McCaffrey to act as a "third party candidate" who could siphon votes, though they remain skeptical of a running back winning the award in the current era.

Coaching Vacancies and College Transitions

As the NFL season winds down, the panel shifts to potential coaching changes. Schrager highlights the buzz around college coaches like Curt Cignetti, who has turned Indiana into a "disciplined" and "culture-centered" program. However, they remain cautious about the success rate of college-to-pro transitions, noting that for every success, there are failures like Steve Spurrier. The group identifies teams like the Giants and the Ravens as potential landing spots for high-profile coaching moves, depending on how the playoffs unfold.

Week 18 Picks and Betting Strategy

Simmons, House, and Schrager lean into their "Ringer 107" betting segment. They reach a consensus on several picks:

  • Bengals vs. Browns: They are all-in on the Bengals, viewing them as a "smash spot" against a Cleveland team with the "10th worst special teams of all time."
  • Vikings vs. Packers: They favor the Vikings, noting the Packers are locked into the seventh seed and likely to rest key players.
  • Falcons vs. Saints: The panel leans toward the Falcons, despite their "maddening" inconsistency, because the Saints have "run out of playmakers" following injuries to key personnel.
  • Seahawks vs. 49ers: House and Simmons are bullish on the Seahawks, arguing that the 49ers are "ravaged by injuries," specifically pointing to Christian McCaffrey’s heavy workload and the potential absence of Trent Williams.

The Top 21 Sports Movies of the 21st Century

In the second half of the podcast, Sean Fennessey joins to finalize a list of the 21 best sports movies of the 21st century. The selection process highlights the decline of the traditional "adult Disney sports movie" and the rise of more modern, nuanced storytelling.

Key entries include:

  • Moneyball (No. 1): Simmons and Fennessey agree that Moneyball is the most significant sports movie of the century, not just for its quality, but for how it transformed the public understanding of sports analytics and team building.
  • Creed (No. 2): Praised for Ryan Coogler’s "classical storytelling" and the electric chemistry between Michael B. Jordan and Sylvester Stallone.
  • Friday Night Lights (No. 3): Celebrated as the "best high school football movie ever" with one of the most iconic locker room speeches in cinema history.
  • Rush (No. 4): A technical marvel that captures the intensity of F1 racing, which Simmons calls a "timeless" sports film.

The discussion concludes with a nod to the recently released Marty Supreme (2025), which Fennessey successfully lobbies to add to the list, forcing the removal of the long-standing favorite Draft Day. The episode serves as both a masterclass in current NFL discourse and a nostalgic retrospective on how the sports movie genre has evolved over the last quarter-century.

🎯Key Sentences

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I recused myself.
2
I'll admit I'm wrong then.
3
It does feel like it has more weight.
4
I'm an NBA hole.
5
It seems incredible.
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📝Key Phrases

1
stay tuned
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off the top
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in rough shape
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shout out to
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take a break
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📖 Transcript

The Bill Simmons Podcast is brought to you by FanDuel Sportsbook.
We are also brought to you by the Ringer Podcast Network.
I put up a rewatchables on Monday.
It was my 50 most rewatchable movies of the 21st century.
It was my list.
There were a lot of caveats to it, including they were just movies I had seen the most times because of family wife, because I liked having just a movie on in the background as I was working, whatever it was.

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