English 箭头
Podcast Cover

[Investing in the Age of AI: Insights from Miles Clements]-["Cursor is Dead" is Total BS: Here is Why | Miles Clements]

20VC with Harry Stebbings · B2 ·

AI
Or study on the web version

📋 Summary

Investing in the Age of AI: A Framework for Value and Durability

In a recent discussion, Miles Clements, a leader of Accel's growth investing practice, shared his perspective on navigating the current AI-driven market. He emphasizes that while financial metrics are often the focus, they can sometimes "obscure and blind you to a lot of underlying ills in the business." Instead, successful investing requires balancing the science of valuation with the art of knowing when to break the rules.

The Framework: Time to Value and Durability

Clements proposes a useful framework for evaluating AI companies based on two dimensions: Time to Value and Durability of Value.

  • Time to Value: How quickly can a user derive benefit from the tool?
  • Durability of Value: Does the product offer transformational, compounding long-term utility?

He points to the coding vertical, specifically companies like Cursor, as the current "battleground in AI" because it excels in both dimensions. Users can start coding in an afternoon and see a 10x productivity boost by evening, with the value compounding as the team integrates the tool deeper into their workflow.

Challenging the "Cursor is Dead" Narrative

Despite social media chatter suggesting that competitors like Cloud Code are displacing Cursor, Clements remains unfazed. He argues that the market is "enormously" expansionary. The growth of tools like Cloud Code and Cursor is not a zero-sum game; rather, they are expanding the market by bringing new cohorts of users online and increasing overall consumption. He notes that Cursor is evolving into an agent-based platform, with 90% of its daily active users engaging with the agent product, which grew 15x last year.

The "Marginal Ease of ARR Accumulation"

One of the most profound concepts Clements introduces is the "marginal ease of ARR accumulation." He argues that successful companies, like Rippling (led by Parker Conrad), build downstream levers—such as physical IT leasing or laptop provisioning—that create unique pockets of margin. This mechanism allows for sustainable, high-velocity growth that goes beyond simple marketing spend-to-revenue ratios.

Investing in the Era of Nuance

Clements pushes back against binary, "AI-maximalist" thinking. He suggests that the best investors "embrace the nuance." Whether it is an undisputed breakout leader or a bootstrapped company in a less conventional geography, there is room for different investment profiles in a portfolio. He warns against the "who will win" framing, noting that monopoly markets are rare and that the forces of capitalism generally permit multiple winners in large verticals.

The Role of the Investor: Professionalism and Humility

When asked about the best board members, Clements highlights the importance of humility and demeanor. He observes an "inverse correlation between how vocal somebody is and how helpful they actually are." For founders, he advises that while investors are excellent at identifying when to hire, they are often "awful at identifying who to hire."

Ultimately, Clements reflects on the evolution of his own mindset, admitting that a year ago he wrongly believed all generational AI investments had already been made. He now recognizes that the "innovation flywheel is just getting started." For him, the most exciting prospect is not just the next big deal, but watching the next generation of investors at Accel flourish, maintaining the firm's standard of professionalism over the long term.

🎯Key Sentences

1
I think there's a few things at play.
2
That's unmistakable.
3
I get a little bit spun up about it.
4
I don't think so.
5
How did you think about that?
Expand All

📝Key Phrases

1
overly fixated on
2
obscure and blind you to
3
time to value
4
durability of value
5
at the expense of
Expand All

📖 Transcript

Sometimes getting overly fixated on the financial metrics in this environment can leave you with an unsatisfying taste in your mouth.
Growth can obscure and blind you to a lot of underlying ills in the business.
Now today, I'm thrilled to welcome Miles Clements to the show.
Miles helps lead Excel's growth investing practice where he's backed some of the best in the business, including Atlassian Linear Cursor and many more.
You can actually be successful in this market investing in consensus.
Investing is an art and a science.

ListenLeap Brings You Into Real Context Learning

🎨 Interesting Content
🌍 Real Materials
📱 Listen Anytime
Or study on the web version